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Padhraic Garvey

Padhraic Garvey

Verified

Managing Director, ING Think

New York

Final Covers

crypto culture and musicTech government and policy

Doesn’t Cover

Industrial

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-

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Industries

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Content

Total articles 634

  • Rates: US Treasuries have become a ‘pain trade’

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified| ING Think@ US Treasury yields have marched higher again – what's going on? The impact of tariffs was the discount for a recession and more rate cuts, typically deemed a good rationale to buy bonds. It still is, and could be in months to come. But for now, we've gone the other way. Treasury bond prices have been bullied lower in the past few days, and yields have shot higher, not what would typically be expected on the build of a material recession risk. So what's driving this? Here's how we see it.

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified · ING Think

    Apr. 14, 2025

  • Rates Spark: Demand for safety to stay

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified, Michiel Tukker, Benjamin Schroeder| ING Think@ A pause for now is good news for the eurozone and the 10Y swap rate is back at levels from before "Liberation Day". The significant rise in UST yields played an important role in this. The front end of the curve still trades at lower rates, reflecting the still-outstanding risks on investors’ minds. Markets are reverting to an ECB landing zone between 1.75-2%, a range which was held for many months previously. But we remain wary that the situation could easily worsen again.

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified, Michiel Tukker, Benjamin Schroeder · ING Think

    Apr. 10, 2025

  • Rates: US Treasuries have become a ‘pain trade’

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified| ING Think@ US Treasury yields have marched higher again – what's going on? The impact of tariffs was the discount for a recession and more rate cuts, typically deemed a good rationale to buy bonds. It still is, and could be in months to come. But for now, we've gone the other way. Treasury bond prices have been bullied lower in the past few days, and yields have shot higher, not what would typically be expected on the build of a material recession risk. So what's driving this? Here's how we see it.

    By Padhraic Garvey Verified · ING Think

    Apr. 14, 2025

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Company Info

ING Think

Amsterdam, North Holland, Netherlands

+31 20 563 9111